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Table 1 Associations between serum bilirubin and clinically relevant outcomes

From: Serum bilirubin and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD): a systematic review

First author, year

Measure

Outcome

Model covariates

Apperly 2015 [13]

Logistic regression of relationship between bilirubin quintile and mortality

OR of mortality in quintile 1 vs 5 (reference) 1.15 (95% CI 0.80–1.65; p = 0.32)

OR of respiratory mortality in quintile 1 vs 5 (reference) 1.59 (95% CI 0.50–5.11; p = 0.58)

Age, sex, BMI, race, and pack-years smoked

Brown 2017 [19]

Time dependent multivariable Cox proportional hazards analysis for time to first AECOPD

STATCOPE (development and calibration): aHR per log(10) increase in bilirubin = 0.89 (95% CI 0.74–1.09; p = 0.26)

MACRO (validation): aHR per log(10) increase in bilirubin = 0.80 (95% CI 0.67–0.94; p = 0.008)

Treatment assignment, sex, race, BMI, chronic bronchitis, supplemental O2 use, SGRQ score, inhaler use, steroid or antibiotic use in last year

Treatment assignment, sex, race, BMI, bronchitis, supplemental O2 use, SGRQ score, inhaler use, steroid or antibiotic use in last year

Horsfall 2011 [17]

Poisson regression between overall mortality and bilirubin levels

Poisson regression between diagnosis of COPD and bilirubin levels

Men: aIRR per 0.1 mg/dL increase in bilirubin 0.97 (95% CI 0.97–0.98; p < 0.001)

Women: aIRR per 0.1 mg/dL increase in bilirubin 0.97 (95% CI 0.96–0.98; p < 0.001)

Men: aIRR per 0.1 mg/dL increase in bilirubin 0.94 (95% CI 0.93–0.95; p < 0.001)

Women: aIRR per 0.1 mg/dL increase in bilirubin 0.94 (95% CI 0.92–0.95; p < 0.001)

Age, BMI, systolic blood pressure, smoking status, alcohol intake, social deprivation score

Treatment assignment, sex, race, BMI, bronchitis, supplemental O2 use, SGRQ score, inhaler use, steroid or antibiotic use in last year

Lee 2018 [22]

Modified Poisson regression for risk of COPD in high vs low bilirubin

aRR 1.17 (95% CI 0.80–1.71; p = 0.431)

Age, sex, BMI

Leem 2019 [27]

Cox regression model for mortality

Linear mixed model and generalized estimating equations for number of exacerbations per year, 6 MW, CAT, and SGRQ

HR = 1.60 (95% CI 0.65–3.97; p = 0.311)

# Exacerbations/year: β = 0.62 (SE 0.18; p = 0.001)

6 MW: β = 20.5 (SE 12.2; p = 0.094)

CAT: β = 0.4 (SE 1.2; p = 0.746)

SGRQ: β = 2.9 (SE 2.5; p = 0.261)

age, sex, BMI, Smoking, baseline FEV1

Milevoj Kopcinovic 2016 [29]

Bilirubin in COPD vs controls by Mann–Whitney or t-test

6.4 (IQR 5.2–8.3) vs 7.1 (IQR 5.5 to 10.9); p = 0.102

No difference so not included in additional analysis

Wei 2015 [28]

Bilirubin in COPD vs controls by one-way ANOVA

No significant difference, values not reported

None

  1. OR odds ratio, BMI body mass index, aIRR adjusted incidence rate ratio, HR hazard ratio, FEV1 forced expiratory volume in 1 s, 6MW 6 min walk, CAT COPD assessment test, SGRQ St. George’s Respiratory Questionnaire, AECOPD acute exacerbation of COPD, aHR adjusted hazard ratio, CI confidence interval, SE standard error, STATCOPE Simvastatin for the Prevention of Exacerbations in Moderate-to-Severe COPD, MACRO Macrolide Azithromycin to Prevent Rapid Worsening of Symptoms Associated with Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease