Chance node | CT-guided Lung Biopsy Sensitivity | Radial EBUS sensitivity | Linear EBUS sensitivity | Radiologically guided percutaneous biopsy sensitivity | HAL threshold for mediasitinal staging | “CT-First” Probability of requiring more than one diagnostic test | “FDG-PET/CT First” Probability of requiring more than one diagnostic test | Difference in probabilities | % Change from base case |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Base case | |||||||||
93% | 73% | 89% | 93% | 10% | 0.192 | 0.121 | 0.071 | N/A | |
CT-guided Lung Biopsy Sensitivity | |||||||||
90% | 0.205 | 0.131 | 0.074 | 3.4% | |||||
96% | 0.180 | 0.104 | 0.076 | 7.2% | |||||
Radial EBUS Sensitivity | |||||||||
69% | 0.204 | 0.129 | 0.075 | 5.3% | |||||
80% | 0.229 | 0.101 | 0.128 | 79.8% | |||||
Linear EBUS Sensitivity | |||||||||
Mean HAL score (25.8%) | 0.330 | 0.209 | 0.121 | 69.6% | |||||
46% | 0.286 | 0.181 | 0.105 | 47.3% | |||||
97% | 0.175 | 0.110 | 0.065 | − 8.8% | |||||
Image-Guided Percutaneous Biopsy Sensitivity | |||||||||
90% | 0.193 | 0.123 | 0.070 | − 2.6% | |||||
96% | 0.192 | 0.119 | 0.073 | 2.6% | |||||
HAL threshold for systematic pre-treatment mediastinal staging | |||||||||
17.5% | 0.140 | 0.101 | 0.039 | − 45.5% | |||||
25% | 0.128 | 0.101 | 0.027 | − 62.0% |