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Table 1 Study details and patient characteristics

From: Predictors of mortality in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis

References

Design

N

Study population/average FEV1 (% predicted)

Age

Men, %

Follow-up, months

Mortality rate, %

Meta-analysis (N = 17)

Model

Abu Hussein [21]

Cohort

646

COPD, GOLD I-IV/FEV1 52.4 ± 26.0

67.4 ± 10.3

61.6

24

8.1

Almagro [22]

RCT

606

COPD exacerbation/FEV1 45.4 ± 15.6 (cohort 1) & 41.2 ± 14.8 (cohort 2)

72.6 ± 9.9

90.0

12

13.5

+

Ankjærgaard [23]

Cohort

201

COPD exacerbation/FEV1 35.0 (32.7–37.3)

71.5 (69.9–73.0)

43.3

24

43.8

Bélanger [24]

Cohort

479

COPD exacerbation, GOLD I-IV/FEV1 51.2 ± 16.8

68.9 ± 9.4

52.0

12

10.4

Bloom [25]

Cohort

54,990

COPD, GOLD I-IV/FEV1 n/a

Training: 69.9 ± 10.7; test: 70.0 ± 10.6

50.0

12

21.0

+

Cheng [26]

Cohort

429

COPD exacerbation/FEV1 n/a

76.2 ± 9.3

66.4

12

13.8

Coleta [27]

Cohort

78

COPD admitted to LTOT/FEV1 40.7 ± 16.1

66.0 ± 8.9

55.1

12

15.4

Duenk [28]

Cohort

155

COPD exacerbation, GOLD 0-IV/29% had FEV1 < 30% of predicted

67.5 ± 9.6

68.0

12

19.4

+

Duman [29]

Cohort

1,704

COPD exacerbation/FEV1 n/a

Group 1: 70.0 (61.0–80.0); group 2: 71.0 (63.0–78.0)

65.5

6

15.0

Edwards [30]

Cohort

133

COPD exacerbation/FEV1 n/a

72.7 ± 10.0

51.1

12

26.0

Eriksen [31]

Cohort

300

COPD exacerbation, GOLD II-IV/FEV1 34.9 (group 1) and 37.6 (group 2)

72.1 ± n/a

38.3

12

25.5

+

Fan [32]

Cohort

3,282

COPD exacerbation/FEV1 62.4

65.6 ± 10.9

96.3

12

5.1

García-Sanz [33]

Cohort

757

COPD exacerbation, GOLD I-IV/FEV1 n/a

74.8 ± 11.2

77.0

12

26.2

+

Gavazzi [34]

Cohort

267

COPD/(FEV1 < 30% or on LTOT > 8 h/day)

75.0 ± 9.0

70.8

6

37.0

+

Gudmundsson [35]

Cohort

416

COPD, GOLD I-IV/FEV1 40.6 ± 19.2 (survivors) and 33.5 ± 14.4 (dead)

Survivors: 68.2 ± 10.9; dead: 72.1 ± 8.7

48.1

24

29.3

+

Guerrero [36]

Cohort

378

COPD exacerbation, GOLD A-D/FEV1 44.2 ± 16.9

71.4 ± 10.0

84.0

12

21.0

+

Hallin [37]

Cohort

261

COPD exacerbation, GOLD ≥ 1/FEV1 41 ± 19 (survivors) and 33 ± 14 (dead)

Survivors: 68.0 ± 12.0; dead: 72.0 ± 9.0

51.7

24

19.0

+

Ho [38]

Cohort

4,204

COPD/FEV1 n/a

75.0 ± 11.0

73.0

12

22.0

+

Hoong [39]

Cohort

286

COPD/FEV1 64.4 ± 19.6 (nourished group) and 60.8 ± 20.5 (malnourished group)

66.6 ± 11.0

67.8

12

18.7

Horita [40]

Cohort

607

COPD/FEV1 27 ± 7

67.0 ± 6.0

63.9

24

16.8

+

Hu [41]

Cohort

343

COPD exacerbation/FEV1 51.6 ± 20.9 (survivors) and 52.0 ± 16.2 (dead)

Survivors: 75.8 ± 9.9; dead: 80.0 ± 8.1)

65.0

12

16.6

+

Man [42]

Cohort

4,803

COPD/FEV < 90% but ≥ 55%

53.0 ± 7.0

63.0

24

n/a

+

Marin [43]

Cohort

3,633

COPD, GOLD I-IV/FEV1 53.8 ± 19.4

66.4 ± 9.7

93.3

12

6.3

+

Martinez [44]

RCT

1,218

COPD/FEV1 26.75 ± 7.20

67.1 ± 6.1

61.2

24

n/a

+

Martinez-Rivera [45]

Cohort

117

COPD exacerbation, GOLD II-IV/FEV1 37.71 ± 12.7 (survivors) and 36.13 ± 10.6 (dead)

72.0 ± 9.1

93.2

12

22.2

+

Morales [46]

Cohort

54,879

COPD/FEV1 59.5 ± 20.4

74.1 ± 10.3

53.8

24

10.5

+

Navarro [47]

Cohort

80

COPD, GOLD B-D/FEV1 40 ± 16

73.4 ± 8.9

90.0

21.4 (12.6–24.7)

21.0

+

Neo [48]

Cohort

124

COPD, GOLD III-IV/FEV1 35.9 ± 9.8

71.7 ± 7.6

88.5

18

13.7

Niksarlioǧlu [49]

Cohort

49

COPD exacerbation, GOLD II-IV/FEV1 34 ± 12

71.1 ± 10.9

77.6

24

14.9

+

Park [50]

Cohort

314

COPD exacerbation, with or without CAP/FEV1 54.6–58.7 ± 21.0–23.9 with CAP), 55.5–60.7 ± 22.5–29.8 (without CAP)

72.2 ± 9.4

76.4

12

18.2

+

+

Pascual-Guardia [51]

Cohort

248

COPD exacerbation/FEV1 35 (24–45) (group 1) and 40 (28–51) (group 2)

Group 1: 74.5 (67.0–80.0); group 2: 73.0 (63.0–80.0)

80.6

24

38.2

Philip [52]

Cohort

22,019

COPD/FEV1 n/a

73.0 ± 10.4

50.3

6

13.2

Pinto-Plata [53]

Cohort

198

COPD/FEV1 n/a

68.0 ± 9.0

85.0

24

42.0

+

Puhan [54]

Cohort

409

COPD, GOLD II-IV/FEV1 n/a

67.3 ± 10.0

57.0

24

9.3

+

Ranieri [55]

Cohort

244

COPD exacerbation or respiratory failure, GOLD I-III/FEV1 n/a

81.7 ± 7.3

44.7

6

20.0

+

Renom [56]

Cohort

116

COPD GOLD II-IV/FEV1 36.5 ± 13.4

70.6 ± 8.6

94.0

24

36.0

+

Shin [57]

Cohort

134

COPD, GOLD A-D/FEV1 55.0 + 20.4

72.8 ± 8.8

76.1

6

24.6

+

Slenter [58]

Cohort

260

COPD exacerbation, GOLD I-IV/FEV1 45.0 ± 18.0

70.5 ± 10.8

50.0

12

27.7

+

Stolz [59]

Cohort

549

COPD, GOLD II-IV/FEV1 48.9 ± 18.3

66.0 ± 11.4

69.8

24

7.8

+

Yohannes [60]

Cohort

100

COPD exacerbation/FEV1 40 ± 15 (survivors) and 39 ± 14 (dead)

73.0 (60.0–98.0)

48.0

12

36.0

Zhan [61]

Cohort

418,251

COPD/FEV1 n/a

67.0 ± 13.0

60.0

12

5.8

+

Zimmermann [62]

Cohort

211

COPD, GOLD II-IV/FEV1 n/a

72.0 (64.0–77.0)

71.0

12

18.4

  1. CAP, community-acquired pneumonia; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; FEV1, forced expiratory volume in the first second; GOLD, Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease; LTOT, long-term oxygen therapy; RCT, randomized controlled trial