Clinical characteristics and mortality predictors among very old patients with pulmonary thromboembolism: a multicenter study report

Background Clinical characteristics of patients with pulmonary thromboembolism have been described in previous studies. Although very old patients with pulmonary thromboembolism are a special group based on comorbidities and age, they do not receive special attention. Objective This study aims to explore the clinical characteristics and mortality predictors among very old patients with pulmonary thromboembolism in a relatively large population. Design and participants The study included a total of 7438 patients from a national, multicenter, registry study, the China pUlmonary thromboembolism REgistry Study (CURES). Consecutive patients with acute pulmonary thromboembolism were enrolled and were divided into three groups. Comparisons were performed between these three groups in terms of clinical characteristics, comorbidities and in-hospital prognosis. Mortality predictors were analyzed in very old patients with pulmonary embolism. Key results In 7,438 patients with acute pulmonary thromboembolism, 609 patients aged equal to or greater than 80 years (male 354 (58.1%)). There were 2743 patients aged between 65 and 79 years (male 1313 (48%)) and 4095 patients aged younger than 65 years (male 2272 (55.5%)). Patients with advanced age had significantly more comorbidities and worse condition, however, some predisposing factors were more obvious in younger patients with pulmonary thromboembolism. PaO2 < 60 mmHg, eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73m2, malignancy, anticoagulation as first therapy were mortality predictors for all-cause death in very old patients with pulmonary thromboembolism. The analysis found that younger patients were more likely to have chest pain, hemoptysis (the difference was statistically significant) and dyspnea triad. Conclusion In very old population diagnosed with pulmonary thromboembolism, worse laboratory results, atypical symptoms and physical signs were common. Mortality was very high and comorbid conditions were their features compared to younger patients. PaO2 < 60 mmHg, eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73m2 and malignancy were positive mortality predictors for all-cause death in very old patients with pulmonary thromboembolism while anticoagulation as first therapy was negative mortality predictors. Supplementary Information The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12890-023-02824-7.


Introduction
Venous thromboembolism (VTE) includes deep vein thrombosis (DVT) and pulmonary thromboembolism (PTE) and PTE is the third most common cause of vascular death after myocardial infarction and stroke.In acute phase it can be fatal and it also can lead to chronic condition [1,2].However, the outcome may be improved if the disease is timely diagnosed and properly managed.In recent years, considerable reduction in mortality during hospitalization was obtained over the years, which might be attributed to risk stratification-guided management [3].
Though management and diagnostic strategy improve mortality of PTE, it is still health burden for medical and health services.The incidence of PTE increased with age, this is most pronounced among the old [4].Patients aged 40 years and older are at increased risk compared with younger patients and the risk approximately doubles every decade.Nowadays life expectancy is getting longer, the old population is a large population worldwide, the rate of venous thromboembolism will increase, thereby increasing the health burden [5][6][7].The old are not only a large population, but also the main population using medications for chronic disease.Age and comorbidities were already confirmed to be associated with poor outcomes [4].However, old patients are seldomly recruited in randomized clinical trials due to age, multimorbidity and disabilities [8].Therefore, evidence-based clinical guidelines do not make recommendations for old people of all ages.Clinicians may treat old patients based on general guidelines and their own experience with uncertainty.There have been several studies focusing on patients with pulmonary embolism over 65 years [9][10][11][12][13][14].Data on clinical characteristics, management and outcome of PE in very old patients is limited.Thus, this study aims to explore the clinical characteristics and mortality predictors among very old patients with PTE in a relatively large population.

Patients inclusion
The CURES registry (NCT02943343) involved 100 medical centers across China and this study enrolled consecutive patients aged 18 years and older since 2009.Patients were diagnosed acute PTE with or without DVT through computed tomographic pulmonary angiography, ventilation-perfusion lung scintigraphy, magnetic resonance pulmonary angiography or pulmonary angiography.This study complies with the Declaration of Helsinki and was approved by all participating centers' ethics committees.All recruited patients sighed written informed consent for their participation in the registry.Diagnostic methods were chosen by physicians of the participating centers, and management decisions were determined at the discretion of the physicians and the actual condition of the patients in accordance with the guidelines.

Data collection
We collected patients' data including demographics, risk factors, medical history, symptoms and signs, physical and laboratory examinations, therapeutic management and clinical outcomes of the disease during hospitalization by designated case report forms and then record all data into the electronic data capture system by researchers in each participating centre.Data quality was monitored by local investigators and members from research organization who responsible for quality control.

Risk stratification and management
Risk stratification for all patients had been calculated by hemodynamic status and sPESI score according to the 2014 ESC/ERS guidelines in our previous study [1,3].Primary therapy included anticoagulation, thrombolysis, interventional thrombectomy and surgical embolectomy.Initial anticoagulation therapy referred to when a patient was first given anticoagulant therapy at admission instead of systemic thrombolysis agents, inferior vena cava filter, interventional thrombectomy or surgical embolectomy.We defined condition that when systemic thrombolysis was given prior to any other treatment as initial thrombolysis therapy.

Grouping, study outcomes and definitions
Patients were divided into three groups: very old (≥ 80 years, as stated elsewhere [15]), old (65-79 years), younger (< 65 years).The primary outcome in this study was the composite of death from any cause

Conclusion
In very old population diagnosed with pulmonary thromboembolism, worse laboratory results, atypical symptoms and physical signs were common.Mortality was very high and comorbid conditions were their features compared to younger patients.PaO2 < 60 mmHg, eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73m2and malignancy were positive mortality predictors for all-cause death in very old patients with pulmonary thromboembolism while anticoagulation as first therapy was negative mortality predictors.
Keywords Pulmonary thromboembolism, Old, Mortality during hospitalization.Major bleeding was defined as fatal bleeding, and/or a decrease in hemoglobin levels of greater than 20 g L −1 (1.24 mmol L −1 ) or more, or leading to transfusion of two or more units of whole blood or red cells, or intracranial bleeding or other condition according to the International Society on Thrombosis and Haemostasias criteria [16].The outcome events were assessed by a central adjudication committee.

Statistical analysis
All analyses were performed using the SPSS (Statistical Product and Service Solutions) version 26.0.Continuous variables were presented as mean ± standard deviation or the median (interquartile range) values, and categorical variables were displayed as number (percentage) values.Variables were compared between groups using independent-samples t test, Chi-squared or Fisher's exact test depending on the types of the variables.Univariable logistic regression model was performed to assess the association between relevant factors and all-cause mortality.Variables with a significance level of p < 0.05 were included in the multivariable logistic regression analysis.Odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals were used to demonstrate the associations.

Results
Seven thousand four hundred thirty-eight patients diagnosed as acute PTE were included in the CURES registry from January 2009 to December 2015.In those patients enrolled, 609 patients aged equal to or greater than 80 years (male 354 (58.1%)).There were 2734 patients aged between 65 and 79 years (male 1313 (48%)) and 4095 patients aged younger than 65 years (male 2272(55.5%))(Table 1).
Patients with advanced age had significantly more comorbidities (including hypertension, coronary heart disease, heart failure, COPD (chronic obstructive pulmonary disease), pulmonary infection, pulmonary tuberculosis, interstitial lung disease, cor pulmonale, bronchiectasis, hyperlipidemia, diabetes, neurological diseases, liver and kidney disease, p < 0.05) and some predisposing factors were more common in younger patients with PTE (surgery and trauma in 3 months, immobilization more than 3 days, central venous catheterization, p < 0.05).Younger patients were more often diagnosed as PTE accompanied by DVT.
Patients with advanced age had more worse condition: lower BMI (body mass index), lower platelet count, lower hemoglobin, lower PaO 2 , lower eGFR, higher cardiac biomarkers, p < 0.05) (Table 1), old patients more often presented with clinical manifestations like cough and sputum.The analysis found that younger patients were more likely to have chest pain, hemoptysis (the difference was statistically significant) and dyspnea triad.Though not significant, there is a tendency for younger patients to be more prone to syncope when VTE occurs.When a physical examination was performed, temperature > 37.3•C, pulse > 110/min, SBP (systolic blood pressure) < 100 mmHg, respiratory rate > 20/min, P2 increase, positive Homan sigh and gastrocnemius tenderness were more frequent in younger patients.In old and very old patients, signs included cyanosis, moist crackle, wheezing, cardiomegaly, leg edema and jugular venous distention were more common than that in younger patients.
High risk PTE was more common in younger patients, almost twice as often as that in very old patients.The number of patients who received thrombolysis as the initial treatment was 13 (2.2%) in very old patients, 286 (10.7%) in group aged 65-79 years and 607 (15.1%) in younger patients respectively.The main treatment in all three groups was anticoagulation.All cause death increased from 2.3% to 7.4% with age (p < 0.001).There was a trend that the rate of bleeding increased with age but not significant.There was no significant difference in the incidence of major bleeding (Table 2).
The outcomes of patients at different age period were shown in the Fig. 1.It could be seen that the mortality rate of patients with PTE increased significantly with the increase of age (p < 0.001), while there was no statistical difference in bleeding events and major bleeding events at different age period.
There were more high risk PTE in very old patients with outcome of death, almost 11 times as often as that in survival patients.The main treatment in two groups was anticoagulation.Major bleeding occurred more often in very old patients with outcome of death (11.5% vs. 1.6%) (Table 4).

Discussion
Our study results showed that in those 7,438 patients, 609 patients aged equal to or greater than 80 years (58.1%).As a result of population aging, the number of older patients is increasing, especially patients with PTE which its incidence increases with age.Recommendations for older patients on common cardiovascular diseases in current guidelines of the European Society of Cardiology are missing or scarce, let alone PTE [2,15].Guidelines rarely provide advice to older patients mainly because older patients were seldomly recruited in previous clinical trials due to age, multimorbidity and disabilities and thus limited evidence concerning diagnosis and treatment of those older patients was summarized [8].
In this study, older patients had significantly more comorbidities but some predisposing factors for PTE such as surgery, trauma, immobilization, central venous catheterization were more common in younger patients.In addition, PTE accompanied by deep vein thrombosis (DVT) were more often diagnosed in younger patients.Such results remind us that older patients with PTE are more likely to develop "unprovoked" PTE, which was in accordance with previous study (old ≥ 65 years) [9].Older patients may be less prone to PTE due to deep venous embolism than younger patients.Besides, we also found that old patients had symptoms like cough and sputum more frequent than that in their younger counterpart patients.In contrast, chest pain, hemoptysis and dyspnea triad were less common in very old patients.Another research found patients with PTE aged 80 and older were more likely to show syncope (10% vs 6%) at presentation than those younger than 80 [17].This number was reversed in our study but it was not statistically significant.In our results, syncope was more frequent in younger (8.2% in very old vs.10.0% in 65-79 years vs.11.1% in younger patients), this was consistent with their high-risk distribution (2.5% high risk in very old vs.4.0%high risk in 65-79 years vs.4.5% high risk in younger patients).Thus, we can conclude that the old patients are less likely to show the typical clinical manifestations of PTE that we have considered in the past, but may often present with symptoms like aggravation of underlying disease, for example, COPD and cardiac insufficiency.
In previous study, population aging and high comorbidity were risk factors for PTE and old patients presented with syncope and dyspnea more frequently than in younger patients [11].In our age stratified study, though not significant, there is a tendency for younger patients to have syncope and dyspnea when PTE occurs.Very old patients have high comorbidity and less typical symptoms.In recent years, many studies have been conducted to help diagnose PTE properly and have improved guidelines.About the old patients, some scholars have suggested that the application of both a fixed higher D-dimer cutoff (1000 ng/mL) and the age-adjusted threshold would increase the specificity of D-dimer assay for excluding PTE and do not reduce sensitivity [18].When a physical examination was performed, changes in vital signs were more frequent in younger patients and the very old often present with clinical manifestations that seemed to be related to underlying diseases such as moist crackle, wheezing and so on.Nonspecific manifestations and laboratory results might be erroneously attributed to common diseases or to age itself, thus can delay the diagnosis and even misguide treatment [19].Nonspecific manifestations and laboratory results widened the spectrum of differential diagnosis of PTE in the older, and high clinical suspicion is needed to prevent delays in diagnosis [20].All these suggest that it is precisely at this stage of suspicion during diagnosis and management of PTE that older people and younger people have different questions to consider.Given the convenience of the current inspection, someone may add check items to reduce missed diagnosis, but this strategy obviously can't be promoted among all old patients not only because of the cost, but also because the potential renal toxicity of intravenous contrast and the high incidence of renal dysfunction in the old patients themselves [21][22][23].Thus, finding a balance between under-suspicion and over-suspicion of PTE is a particularly challenging issue for those very old patients with higher risk of contrast nephropathy.
In our study, age stratified prognosis showed that mortality increased every ten years.All cause death increased from 2.3% to 7.4% with age group (p < 0.001).Beside the impact of age itself on mortality, high comorbidity rate such as changes in cardiac function and renal function due to various diseases and age-related fragility all contribute to poor prognosis of old patients [10,24].In clinical practice, in fear of bleeding events, some physicians may mistake advanced age and comorbidity as a contraindication to treatment like anticoagulation and thrombolysis [25].15.1% of the younger patients were given thrombolysis as the initial treatment but only 2.2% of the very old patients had thrombolysis as the initial treatment.These practice lead to the higher morbidity and mortality associated with PTE in the old than in younger patients [19].Indeed, results in our research showed no significant difference in major bleeding incidence between age stratified groups, there was a trend that the rate of bleeding increased with age groups but not significant, which was not consistent with previous study [9].One reason is that the management of pulmonary embolism has improved in recent years [3,26].The participating centers in this study choose appropriate treatment strategy and carry out strict control of indications and contraindications.In addition, anticoagulation was administrated according to age and renal function.In some cases, we aimed for an INR level of 1.8-2.5 in old patients instead of an INR level of 2.0-3.0 to avoid bleeding.In RIETE study, the 3.7% incidence of fatal PE in patients aged ≥ 80 years old outweighed the 0.8% of fatal bleeding [27].In this study, appropriate therapy also did not increase the incidence of bleeding in very old patients.In earlier study [17], Moutzouris JP et.al published that no difference in short-term mortality was found between octogenarians and their younger counterpart.With appropriate assessment of the condition and appropriate choice of treatment to reduce the risk of bleeding, there seems to be more reason to concern about severity of pulmonary embolism itself in old patients rather than to treat advanced age as a contraindication for fear of bleeding.In this study, very old patients with a prognosis of death had lower BMI, more malignancy and anemia, worse laboratory results and higher incidence of high-risk PTE.Besides, PAO2 < 60 mmHg, eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73m 2 , malignancy and whether anticoagulation as first therapy were mortality predictors for all-cause death in very old patients with PTE.The choice of anticoagulation as first treatment strategy is beneficial to the prognosis of very old patients during hospitalization.In another retrospective cohort study, researchers found that, in emergency department, mortality is high in an old population with a clinically suspected PTE.They suggest that sPESI scoring, even combined with cardiac troponin testing, is not sufficient to predict mortality in old patients [28].Perhaps more and better larger studies are needed to promote the development of better risk stratification tools for old and very old patients.

Limitations
The main limitation of our study is that we enrolled consecutive patients with confirmed diagnosis of PTE.Those patients who died rapidly in the emergency department with a high suspicion of pulmonary embolism death were not included.Therefore, difference of clinical manifestation and outcome of PTE in real world between younger, old and very old patients was not concluded.Since some results were not consistent with previous study, our results need to be confirmed in larger cohorts.The reason only 2 individuals (4.4%) in the death group received thrombolysis despite 7 individuals (15.6%) being classified as high risk was not recorded in our date.In highrisk patients, patients themselves or relatives may refuse thrombolysis because of fear for bleeding.If the physician assesses the very old patient at a very high risk of bleeding, they may not carry out thrombolysis.Our database failed to record the specific causes.Another limitation is that, in multicenter study, some specific causes of death were not retrievable and no definite conclusions can be drawn on relationship between treatment and mortality.

Conclusion
We conclude that in very old population diagnosed with PTE, worse laboratory results, atypical symptoms and physical sighs were common.Mortality was very high and comorbid conditions were their features compared to younger patients.PaO2 < 60 mmHg, eGFR < 60 mL/ min/1.73m2and malignancy were positive mortality predictors for all-cause death in very old patients with PTE while anticoagulation as first therapy was negative mortality predictors.After reasonable choice of treatment, the incidence of bleeding did not significantly increase with age.The very old patients should receive more attention than the young patients because of their comorbidities and frailty, rather than being excluded from clinical research that influences guidelines, and should not be considered as a contraindication for examination and treatment.

Table 1
Demographic characteristic, laboratory results, symptoms, physical examinations Surgery and trauma in 3 months, Immobilization more than 3 days; P2: The second heart sound of the pulmonary valve eGFR Estimated glomerular filtration rate, assessed by CKD-EPI formula, BMI Body mass index, SBP Systolic blood pressure, DBP Diastolic blood pressure, DVT Deep vein thrombosis, PaO 2 Arterial blood gas oxygen partial pressure, CTN Cardiac troponin

Table 2
Baseline treatment, outcomes IVC Inferior vena cava, INR International normalized ratio

Table 3
Demographic characteristic, laboratory results, symptoms, physical examinations eGFR Estimated glomerular filtration rate, BMI Body mass index, SBP Systolic blood pressure, DBP Diastolic blood pressure, DVT Deep vein thrombosis, PO 2 Blood gas oxygen partial pressure, CTN Cardiac troponin

Table 5
Univariate and multivariate logistic-regression analysis for influencing factors of death in very old