Risk factor | Moderate exacerbation | Severe exacerbation | All-cause mortality | Death from respiratory diseases | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hazard ratio | P-value | Hazard ratio | P-value | Hazard ratio | P-value | Hazard ratio | P-value | |
(95 % CI) | (95 % CI) | (95 % CI) | (95 % CI) | |||||
Model 1 | ||||||||
Single CID components | ||||||||
FEV1 decrease (≥ 100 mL) | 0.78 (0.47−1.26) | 0.32 | 0.64 (0.25−1.44) | 0.29 | 1.28 (0.84−1.91) | 0.25 | 1.23 (0.63−2.29) | 0.53 |
FEV1 decrease (≥ 200 mL) | 0.59 (0.23−1.26) | 0.19 | 0.98 (0.23−2.81) | 0.97 | 1.39 (0.74−2.42) | 0.29 | 1.77 (0.72−3.80) | 0.20 |
SGRQ increase (≥ 4 units) | 1.01 (0.61−1.62) | 0.97 | 1.78 (0.82−3.74) | 0.14 | 1.33 (0.88−1.99) | 0.17 | 1.67 (0.88−3.08) | 0.11 |
SGRQ increase (≥ 8 units) | 1.28 (0.70−2.19) | 0.41 | 2.88 (1.28−6.14) | 0.01 | 1.39 (0.86−2.18) | 0.17 | 2.28 (1.11−4.43) | 0.03 |
Exacerbation | 2.87 (1.64−4.83) | 0.0004 | 1.09 (0.32−2.88) | 0.87 | 1.17 (0.65−1.97) | 0.59 | 1.00 (0.38−2.21) | 1.00 |
Composite CID | ||||||||
CID using D1 | 1.44 (0.90−2.34) | 0.13 | 1.21 (0.57−2.73) | 0.63 | 1.52 (1.006−2.34) | 0.047 | 1.96 (1.02−4.02) | 0.04 |
CID using D2 | 1.78 (1.12−2.81) | 0.01 | 2.09 (0.98−4.53) | 0.06 | 1.48 (0.997−2.20) | 0.052 | 1.87 (0.9997−3.50) | 0.0501 |
Model 2 | ||||||||
Single CID components | ||||||||
FEV1 decrease (≥ 100 mL) | 0.79 (0.48–1.26) | 0.32 | 0.62 (0.24–1.40) | 0.26 | 1.27 (0.84–1.90) | 0.26 | 1.25 (0.64–2.33) | 0.50 |
FEV1 decrease (≥ 200 mL) | 0.60 (0.23–1.28) | 0.21 | 1.03 (0.24–2.96) | 0.96 | 1.40 (0.74–2.44) | 0.28 | 1.79 (0.72–3.83) | 0.19 |
SGRQ increase (≥ 4 units) | 0.93 (0.56–1.50) | 0.77 | 1.65 (0.76–3.49) | 0.20 | 1.28 (0.84–1.92) | 0.24 | 1.46 (0.76–2.74) | 0.25 |
SGRQ increase (≥ 8 units) | 1.10 (0.60–1.89) | 0.75 | 2.59 (1.15–5.53) | 0.02 | 1.33 (0.82–2.10) | 0.24 | 1.99 (0.95–3.91) | 0.07 |
Exacerbation | 2.25 (1.28–3.82) | 0.006 | 0.81 (0.23–2.18) | 0.70 | 1.12 (0.62–1.89) | 0.70 | 0.85 (0.32–1.93) | 0.72 |
Composite CID | ||||||||
CID using D1 | 1.35 (0.85–2.20) | 0.21 | 1.07 (0.50–2.44) | 0.86 | 1.48 (0.98–2.28) | 0.07 | 1.80 (0.93–3.71) | 0.08 |
CID using D2 | 1.54 (0.97–2.44) | 0.07 | 1.79 (0.84–3.89) | 0.13 | 1.44 (0.96–2.14) | 0.08 | 1.66 (0.88–3.14) | 0.12 |