Prediction model for prolonged fever in patients with Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia: a retrospective study of 716 pediatric patients

Table 5 Prediction of RMPP-3 (fever > 72 h) in the test cohort

Prediction method	Used variables	p-value	AUC area (95% CI)	Sensitivity (%)	Specificity (%)	PPV (Precision) (%)	NPV (%)	Overall accuracy (%)	Youden Index
Conventional logistic model	CRP, LDH	< 0.001	0.642 (0.562, 0.723)	32.9	95.2	81.3	69.4	71.2	0.281
Conventional logistic model	Radiologic grouping	< 0.001	0.725 (0.651, 0.798)	63.3	81.6	66.7	79.3	74.9	0.449
Conventional logistic model	Platelets, CRP, LDH, radiologic grouping	< 0.001	0.775 (0.704, 0.846)	64.6	90.4	79.7	81.5	80.9	0.550

RMPP-3 Refractory Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia with fever for ≥ 72 h, AUC Area under the curve, CRP C-reactive protein, LDH Lactate dehydrogenase, PPV Positive predictive value, NPV Negative predictive value

ISSN: 1471-2466