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Table 4 Predicted and actual risk of COVID-19 deterioration, as well as the actual risk of using an MV and ECMO in the original cohort according to each (a) DOATS score and (b) DOAT score

From: Development and external validation of the DOAT and DOATS scores: simple decision support tools to identify disease progression among nonelderly patients with mild/moderate COVID-19

(a)

(b)

DOATS score

No.

Predicted risk (%)

Actual risk (%)

Actual risk of MV/ECMO (%)

DOAT score

No.

Predicted risk (%)

Actual risk (%)

Actual risk of MV/ECMO (%)

-2

95

0.8

1

0

-2

126

0.9

0.8

0

-1

31

1

0

0

-1

42

1.2

0

0

0

125

1.3

0.8

0

0

194

1.7

1

0

1

62

1.7

3.2

0

1

214

2.5

3.7

0

2

96

2.2

4.2

0

2

56

3.5

8.9

0

3

186

2.9

3.8

0

3

180

5

2.8

0

4

74

3.7

1.4

0

4

271

6.9

7.8

0

5

145

4.8

3.5

0

5

109

9.6

10.1

0

6

151

6.2

2

0

6

53

13.3

15.1

0

7

46

8

6.5

2.2

7

59

18

22

3.4

8

130

10.2

13.9

0

8

75

23.9

26.7

0

9

108

12.9

15.7

0

9

90

31

32.2

0

10

19

16.2

31.6

0

11

13

47.9

46.2

15.4

11

65

20.2

20

0

12

23

56.9

43.5

13

12

54

24.9

25.9

1.9

     

13

10

30.2

40

10

     

14

58

36.2

32.8

0

     

15

17

42.6

47.1

5.9

     

16

8

49.2

37.5

0

     

17

12

55.9

41.7

8.3

     

18

4

62.3

75

25

     

19

5

68.4

40

20

     
  1. Coronavirus disease 2019, COVID-19; comorbidities of diabetes/obesity, age, body temperature, and oxygen saturation, DOATS; comorbidities of diabetes/obesity, age, and body temperature, DOAT; extracorporeal membrane oxygenation, ECMO; mechanical ventilation, MV